Kahneman Examines the Mind at Luncheon
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Daniel Kahneman, the self-described godfather of behavioral economics, discussed his research about the mind, intuition and reason at a November 2 Mosher Center for Moral and Ethical Leadership luncheon in 暗网爆料app鈥檚 Global Leadership Center.
A Nobel Prize winner in economics and recipient of the Presidential Medal of Freedom, Kahneman wrote the bestselling book 鈥淭hinking, Fast and Slow.鈥
President Gayle D. Beebe presented Kahneman with the first 暗网爆料app Global Laureate award to honor and recognize his seminal work in behavioral economics and contribution to human flourishing throughout the world.
Kahneman spent six years working with Gary Klein, a pioneer in the field of naturalistic decision-making, probing the trustworthiness of intuition. 鈥淚ntuition is knowing without knowing how you know,鈥 Kahneman said. 鈥淚t often comes with a sense of great confidence. Unfortunately, many intuitions or things that feel exactly like intuitions are not worth anything. And we can be totally wrong with the same sense of knowing and the same sense of confidence that we have when we do know what we鈥檙e talking about. Sometimes we get intuitions that are useless and sometimes we get intuitions that are marvelous.鈥
His research shows three conditions need to be present for valid intuitive expertise: structure, practice and feedback.
In explaining structure, Kahneman said there should be a statistical regularity that we can pick up on. 鈥淭he stock market is mostly irregular and so people who have strong intuitions about the stock market are self-deluding,鈥 he said. 鈥淭he financial world is not regular enough to sustain valid intuition.鈥
Kahneman also examined why people don鈥檛 change their minds and are unable to change anyone else鈥檚 mind on things that really matter. 鈥淭his is a mystery in a way because of the way we feel about ourselves: That we鈥檙e reasonable people,鈥 he said. 鈥淎nd if you ask me why I hold a belief, whether political or (otherwise), I am going to give you reasons. And reasons come immediately to my mind as soon as you ask me a question. Because they are able to find the reasons for anything they believe, they are also inclined to believe that their beliefs are caused by their reasons that they have. In fact, that is not at all the case. The truth is virtually the opposite. We believe in reasons because we believe in the conclusions. Arguments presented to us won鈥檛 change our positions. In fact, they are useless.鈥
He went on to explain the role associative coherence plays when we align with people we love and beliefs we hold. 鈥淏ecause reasons play a very little role in determining our beliefs, they cannot be changed by reasons,鈥 he said. 鈥淪o the arguments that they give to us to change our positions, we can鈥檛 accept them. This is bad news. We want a world in which people hold positions because of the reasons that come to their mind. But we won鈥檛 reach that conclusion.鈥
Kahneman, who鈥檚 made profound impacts in many fields, including economics, medicine and politics, explored how to grade exams and conduct hiring interviews.
His research shows that when grading two essay questions from each student, it鈥檚 important to evaluate each question independently, without knowing who took the test. 鈥淥therwise you form an impression very quickly and assimilate all the information that comes afterwards through that first impression,鈥 he said. 鈥淚t makes us happy to do this, it tells us our world is consistent and coherent.鈥
Before conducting a hiring interview, Kahneman said it鈥檚 important to establish categories of job characteristics and interview for each one independently. 鈥淒elay forming an impression or intuition until you have all the information,鈥 he said.
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